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Red40
6742119.9
719698.7
5467135.8
Blue153
1502118.3
663394.3
5901121.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions254293020040060080040153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5467
#18
135.816.6
69.185.7
Auto16.0
Teleop103.2
End16.4
red by 14.5
121.316.3
71.687.9
Auto17.4
Teleop90.2
End13.7
Second
6742
#14
119.916.7
68.284.9
Auto14.4
Teleop96.0
End11.2
red by 1.6
1502
#21
118.314.1
91.6105.8
Auto15.3
Teleop92.5
End13.2
Third
7196
#28
98.724.6
102.377.7
Auto13.2
Teleop79.9
End6.0
red by 4.3
6633
#33
94.317.3
63.280.5
Auto12.3
Teleop73.1
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsMissed31%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed