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Red196
721899.5
1481139.5
4680140.9
Blue393
573173.7
1502118.3
3538185.1
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions262326100200300400500196393

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
140.92.6
130.5133.2
Auto16.3
Teleop113.2
End14.6
blue by 44.2
185.14.3
144.3148.6
Auto26.1
Teleop137.8
End21.6
Second
1481
#15
139.51.2
140.1141.3
Auto15.5
Teleop110.8
End13.7
blue by 34.2
573
#2
173.74.8
144.2149.0
Auto21.0
Teleop129.9
End24.8
Third
7218
#39
99.52.0
93.195.0
Auto13.7
Teleop80.8
End7.1
blue by 18.8
1502
#21
118.30.4
113.9113.5
Auto15.3
Teleop92.5
End13.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsMissed21%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed