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Red409
5901121.3
33184.0
5531161.7
Blue82
3547139.6
1701150.1
4758106.3
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions350240010020030040050060040982

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#3
184.05.4
146.2151.6
Auto23.0
Teleop136.3
End25.9
red by 33.8
1701
#11
150.12.9
143.9146.8
Auto17.9
Teleop107.7
End26.7
Second
161.74.9
129.8134.7
Auto15.7
Teleop124.1
End23.3
red by 22.1
3547
#10
139.63.0
130.1133.1
Auto16.0
Teleop110.9
End12.5
Third
121.32.8
117.7120.5
Auto17.4
Teleop90.2
End13.7
red by 15.1
4758
#34
106.31.2
105.7106.9
Auto16.1
Teleop82.9
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsEarned22%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed