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Red278
5843162.3
5436158.4
5217113.2
Blue181
6742119.9
4737133.2
3302113.8
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3642010100300400500600278181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
162.38.7
142.9151.6
Auto23.3
Teleop122.7
End15.5
red by 29.1
4737
#17
133.22.4
117.9120.3
Auto13.3
Teleop104.1
End16.8
Second
158.45.7
138.0143.7
Auto18.8
Teleop121.9
End20.9
red by 38.5
6742
#14
119.93.8
111.7115.5
Auto14.4
Teleop96.0
End11.2
Third
5217
#22
113.23.0
112.5115.5
Auto12.0
Teleop94.0
End5.1
blue by 0.5
3302
#24
113.80.6
108.4109.0
Auto14.0
Teleop89.3
End11.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
55%Auto Quest oddsMissed11%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed