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Red323
5467135.8
6057104.5
3547139.6
Blue126
564294.7
4768125.9
5619108.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2802330100200400500323126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3547
#10
139.60.7
133.1132.4
Auto16.0
Teleop110.9
End12.5
red by 13.7
4768
#23
125.96.9
112.6119.4
Auto14.9
Teleop93.8
End19.4
Second
5467
#18
135.85.2
110.0115.2
Auto16.0
Teleop103.2
End16.4
red by 27.1
5619
#25
108.70.6
111.7112.4
Auto16.4
Teleop80.3
End8.4
Third
6057
#30
104.52.0
95.998.0
Auto13.1
Teleop83.2
End12.4
red by 9.8
5642
#37
94.71.3
101.7100.3
Auto13.4
Teleop74.0
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsMissed12%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed