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Red299
4680140.9
5065119.2
5217113.2
Blue152
1481139.5
564294.7
7232106.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2922260100200400500299152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
140.91.1
134.5135.6
Auto16.3
Teleop113.2
End14.6
red by 1.4
1481
#15
139.50.6
141.6141.0
Auto15.5
Teleop110.8
End13.7
Second
5065
#19
119.23.8
109.8113.5
Auto11.3
Teleop94.2
End12.7
red by 12.6
7232
#31
106.64.8
99.5104.3
Auto13.8
Teleop81.8
End13.6
Third
5217
#22
113.21.6
115.6114.0
Auto12.0
Teleop94.0
End5.1
red by 18.6
5642
#37
94.72.0
100.398.4
Auto13.4
Teleop74.0
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
10%Auto Quest oddsMissed12%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed