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Red419
3538185.1
6136102.8
5531161.7
Blue159
663394.3
5436158.4
6057104.5
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3682190100300400500600419159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
185.17.2
153.8161.1
Auto26.1
Teleop137.8
End21.6
red by 26.6
158.43.2
148.5151.8
Auto18.8
Teleop121.9
End20.9
Second
161.74.1
145.4149.5
Auto15.7
Teleop124.1
End23.3
red by 57.2
6057
#30
104.51.2
100.6101.9
Auto13.1
Teleop83.2
End12.4
Third
6136
#32
102.81.3
103.0101.7
Auto14.1
Teleop79.5
End8.7
red by 8.4
6633
#33
94.30.9
96.995.9
Auto12.3
Teleop73.1
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsEarned8%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed