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Red259
4838114.8
719698.7
5167126.9
Blue229
519794.0
5217113.2
4737133.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2402280100200300400500259229

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5167
#13
126.91.2
121.8123.1
Auto12.1
Teleop99.7
End14.5
blue by 6.4
4737
#17
133.22.9
124.5127.4
Auto13.3
Teleop104.1
End16.8
Second
4838
#16
114.81.1
112.0113.2
Auto14.1
Teleop86.0
End16.0
red by 1.5
5217
#22
113.20.4
114.0113.6
Auto12.0
Teleop94.0
End5.1
Third
7196
#28
98.72.4
91.894.2
Auto13.2
Teleop79.9
End6.0
red by 4.7
5197
#40
94.01.1
93.792.5
Auto10.7
Teleop79.2
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
9%Auto Quest oddsMissed4%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed