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Red101
7232106.6
663394.3
4758106.3
Blue266
615090.6
721899.5
686284.3
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2741650100200300400500101266

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7232
#31
106.61.5
104.3105.8
Auto13.8
Teleop81.8
End13.6
red by 7.1
7218
#39
99.50.3
95.194.9
Auto13.7
Teleop80.8
End7.1
Second
4758
#34
106.30.8
105.8106.6
Auto16.1
Teleop82.9
End8.1
red by 15.7
6150
#38
90.61.2
88.687.4
Auto14.9
Teleop70.0
End6.3
Third
6633
#33
94.30.4
95.995.5
Auto12.3
Teleop73.1
End8.9
red by 10.0
6862
#36
84.32.0
85.083.0
Auto12.2
Teleop71.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
10%Auto Quest oddsMissed7%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed