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Red380
245197.8
5436171.3
2224106.0
Blue336
226177.5
308167.5
7178134.6
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions362365340350370380390380336

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
245
#18
197.80.2
197.0197.2
Auto19.7
Teleop147.2
End30.9
red by 20.3
226
#9
177.50.6
176.3176.9
Auto24.5
Teleop131.3
End24.4
Second
171.30.4
172.5172.1
Auto20.1
Teleop125.5
End26.8
red by 3.8
308
#8
167.50.6
166.3166.9
Auto20.4
Teleop112.8
End37.3
Third
2224
#14
106.00.2
105.1105.3
Auto18.6
Teleop77.3
End11.5
blue by 28.5
7178
#16
134.60.2
134.1134.4
Auto15.4
Teleop104.9
End12.0