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Red0
3539174.1
70172.8
5498125.9
Blue473
2337184.1
5460186.2
5555140.2
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33239401002003005006000473

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3539
#5DQ
174.10.3
173.8174.1
Auto23.2
Teleop129.4
End20.0
blue by 12.1
186.20.5
184.8185.2
Auto22.9
Teleop133.0
End30.9
Second
70
#2DQ
172.80.5
172.3172.8
Auto23.7
Teleop125.7
End24.4
blue by 11.3
184.10.5
182.4183.0
Auto30.2
Teleop132.4
End25.0
Third
5498
#30DQ
125.90.1
125.8125.9
Auto18.1
Teleop93.3
End14.8
blue by 14.3
5555
#23
140.20.0
140.3140.3
Auto20.1
Teleop106.7
End13.1