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Red294
5555140.2
7147101.5
4815119.2
Blue364
308167.5
2676107.9
4810130.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2763240100200400500600700800294364

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5555
#23
140.22.1
124.3126.4
Auto20.1
Teleop106.7
End13.1
blue by 27.3
308
#8
167.51.1
150.7151.8
Auto20.4
Teleop112.8
End37.3
Second
4815
#33
119.20.7
125.2124.5
Auto13.9
Teleop86.3
End21.5
blue by 11.2
4810
#10
130.51.5
112.3113.8
Auto17.8
Teleop98.2
End14.9
Third
7147
#35
101.51.8
94.896.5
Auto17.4
Teleop79.3
End6.4
blue by 6.3
2676
#26
107.90.1
110.0110.1
Auto17.0
Teleop80.0
End11.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
17%Auto Quest oddsMissed34%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed11%Face the Boss oddsMissed