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Red111
564288.8
3302104.0
5498125.9
Blue413
245197.8
3632105.7
2960170.0
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1384450100200300400500600700800111413

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5498
#30
125.90.2
121.2121.4
Auto18.1
Teleop93.3
End14.8
blue by 71.9
245
#18
197.80.2
201.0200.8
Auto19.7
Teleop147.2
End30.9
Second
3302
#39
104.01.0
113.2112.3
Auto14.6
Teleop77.9
End11.9
blue by 66.0
2960
#11
170.01.3
162.4163.7
Auto24.8
Teleop129.8
End15.2
Third
5642
#40
88.81.4
93.792.3
Auto13.2
Teleop70.6
End1.5
blue by 16.9
3632
#36
105.71.2
102.6103.8
Auto13.4
Teleop78.5
End16.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
13%Auto Quest oddsMissed47%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed13%Face the Boss oddsMissed