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Red482
5436171.3
67210.2
2676107.9
Blue190
2851155.0
3302104.0
68159.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions350313150200250400450500550482190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#1
210.21.3
188.5187.1
Auto28.0
Teleop137.2
End47.9
red by 50.7
68
#24
159.51.4
157.4158.9
Auto24.5
Teleop108.6
End25.7
Second
171.30.9
158.4159.4
Auto20.1
Teleop125.5
End26.8
red by 16.3
2851
#19
155.01.1
143.7144.8
Auto20.7
Teleop119.7
End16.4
Third
2676
#26
107.91.1
110.7109.6
Auto17.0
Teleop80.0
End11.7
red by 3.9
3302
#39
104.00.1
113.8113.9
Auto14.6
Teleop77.9
End11.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
64%Auto Quest oddsEarned70%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
39%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed