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Red15
280112.6
6099138.7
259195.0
Blue459
2960170.0
3539174.1
6566106.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions263315010020040050060015459

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6099
#12
138.72.1
134.0136.1
Auto16.9
Teleop103.7
End20.8
blue by 35.5
174.10.8
149.6150.4
Auto23.2
Teleop129.4
End20.0
Second
280
#38
112.61.6
116.4118.1
Auto16.8
Teleop86.7
End10.3
blue by 57.4
2960
#11
170.00.4
161.8161.4
Auto24.8
Teleop129.8
End15.2
Third
2591
#21
95.00.5
94.895.4
Auto16.0
Teleop74.3
End5.2
blue by 11.8
6566
#17
106.80.2
99.699.8
Auto14.7
Teleop86.8
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsMissed64%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed