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Qual 252018 FIM District Troy Event
Red322
4362185.0
2337184.1
481199.5
Blue241
226177.5
2960170.0
5555140.2
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34830905001,0001,5002,0002,500322241

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4362
#6
185.02.1
171.2→173.3
Auto21.7
Teleop145.5
End17.4
red by 7.5
226
#9
177.50.1
172.8→172.6
Auto24.5
Teleop131.3
End24.4
Second
2337
#7
184.11.0
172.9→171.9
Auto30.2
Teleop132.4
End25.0
red by 14.2
2960
#11
170.01.5
163.7→165.2
Auto24.8
Teleop129.8
End15.2
Third
4811
#28
99.51.7
106.5→104.8
Auto16.1
Teleop78.9
End3.8
blue by 40.7
5555
#23
140.21.8
126.4→128.2
Auto20.1
Teleop106.7
End13.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
79%Auto Quest oddsEarned83%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed