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Red350
3539174.1
5756113.5
2048100.3
Blue262
910152.6
308167.5
7147101.5
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions262339100200300400500600350262

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
174.11.7
154.2155.9
Auto23.2
Teleop129.4
End20.0
red by 6.7
308
#8
167.51.7
151.8153.5
Auto20.4
Teleop112.8
End37.3
Second
5756
#34
113.50.2
112.8112.7
Auto15.5
Teleop86.4
End13.3
blue by 39.1
910
#29
152.60.4
156.6156.1
Auto20.7
Teleop116.3
End16.8
Third
2048
#25
100.30.5
96.296.7
Auto16.1
Teleop74.0
End14.4
blue by 1.2
7147
#35
101.51.6
96.598.1
Auto17.4
Teleop79.3
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
15%Auto Quest oddsEarned66%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsMissed