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Red442
5498125.9
70172.8
3539174.1
Blue184
564288.8
7178134.6
5756113.5
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4101770100300500600700442184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
174.12.2
155.9158.1
Auto23.2
Teleop129.4
End20.0
red by 39.6
7178
#16
134.60.4
131.2130.8
Auto15.4
Teleop104.9
End12.0
Second
70
#2
172.80.9
159.3160.3
Auto23.7
Teleop125.7
End24.4
red by 59.3
5756
#34
113.50.6
112.7113.2
Auto15.5
Teleop86.4
End13.3
Third
5498
#30
125.90.1
121.4121.5
Auto18.1
Teleop93.3
End14.8
red by 37.1
5642
#40
88.80.6
91.190.5
Auto13.2
Teleop70.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
80%Auto Quest oddsEarned7%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed