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Red324
2048100.3
5436171.3
2960170.0
Blue258
3632105.7
2851155.0
6099138.7
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions337277150200250300400450500324258

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
171.32.0
164.5166.5
Auto20.1
Teleop125.5
End26.8
red by 16.3
2851
#19
155.00.1
144.9144.8
Auto20.7
Teleop119.7
End16.4
Second
2960
#11
170.00.4
165.2165.6
Auto24.8
Teleop129.8
End15.2
red by 31.3
6099
#12
138.70.8
138.7139.5
Auto16.9
Teleop103.7
End20.8
Third
2048
#25
100.31.1
96.797.8
Auto16.1
Teleop74.0
End14.4
blue by 5.4
3632
#36
105.71.0
105.1106.1
Auto13.4
Teleop78.5
End16.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
60%Auto Quest oddsEarned14%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed