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Red169
5460186.2
245197.8
4815119.2
Blue470
4362185.0
2851155.0
308167.5
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions387330200300500600169470

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
245
#18
197.80.6
201.8201.2
Auto19.7
Teleop147.2
End30.9
red by 12.8
185.01.7
177.0178.7
Auto21.7
Teleop145.5
End17.4
Second
186.22.3
176.4178.7
Auto22.9
Teleop133.0
End30.9
red by 18.7
308
#8
167.50.2
155.8156.0
Auto20.4
Teleop112.8
End37.3
Third
4815
#33
119.20.5
124.7124.2
Auto13.9
Teleop86.3
End21.5
blue by 35.8
2851
#19
155.00.1
144.8145.0
Auto20.7
Teleop119.7
End16.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
51%Auto Quest oddsMissed96%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
34%Face the Boss oddsMissed15%Face the Boss oddsEarned