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Red278
2960170.0
2224106.0
280112.6
Blue418
7178134.6
724794.3
67210.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions290342100200400500600278418

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2960
#11
170.00.5
166.1166.7
Auto24.8
Teleop129.8
End15.2
blue by 40.2
67
#1
210.22.3
192.4194.7
Auto28.0
Teleop137.2
End47.9
Second
280
#38
112.60.5
115.6115.1
Auto16.8
Teleop86.7
End10.3
blue by 22.0
7178
#16
134.60.8
130.4129.6
Auto15.4
Teleop104.9
End12.0
Third
2224
#14
106.00.3
102.1102.3
Auto18.6
Teleop77.3
End11.5
red by 11.7
7247
#27
94.30.3
89.088.7
Auto18.0
Teleop72.7
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
76%Auto Quest oddsEarned75%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed61%Face the Boss oddsEarned