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Red151
2673100.2
308167.5
481199.5
Blue352
7178134.6
6120135.6
4961157.5
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions244346100200300400500600151352

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
308
#8
167.51.7
148.2149.9
Auto20.4
Teleop112.8
End37.3
red by 10.0
4961
#13
157.50.6
159.6159.0
Auto23.7
Teleop119.4
End16.4
Second
2673
#32
100.20.7
102.0101.2
Auto12.9
Teleop80.8
End10.0
blue by 35.4
6120
#31
135.616.1
73.889.9
Auto14.7
Teleop103.9
End13.1
Third
4811
#28
99.50.2
107.9107.8
Auto16.1
Teleop78.9
End3.8
blue by 35.0
7178
#16
134.60.9
128.0129.0
Auto15.4
Teleop104.9
End12.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
47%Auto Quest oddsMissed56%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed