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Red217
910152.6
3632105.7
5498125.9
Blue245
4810130.5
2224106.0
547896.4
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3581690100200300400500600217245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
910
#29
152.60.6
155.9156.6
Auto20.7
Teleop116.3
End16.8
red by 22.2
4810
#10
130.50.2
111.8112.0
Auto17.8
Teleop98.2
End14.9
Second
5498
#30
125.91.3
119.5120.8
Auto18.1
Teleop93.3
End14.8
red by 19.8
2224
#14
106.00.9
100.4101.2
Auto18.6
Teleop77.3
End11.5
Third
3632
#36
105.70.7
101.9102.6
Auto13.4
Teleop78.5
End16.2
red by 9.3
5478
#20
96.40.7
92.092.7
Auto11.4
Teleop81.2
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
35%Auto Quest oddsMissed10%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed