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Red254
6120135.6
5756113.5
910152.6
Blue313
2224106.0
245197.8
481199.5
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions304272100200400500254313

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
910
#29
152.60.9
153.9153.1
Auto20.7
Teleop116.3
End16.8
blue by 45.2
245
#18
197.81.5
199.2197.8
Auto19.7
Teleop147.2
End30.9
Second
6120
#31
135.62.7
133.9136.6
Auto14.7
Teleop103.9
End13.1
red by 29.6
2224
#14
106.00.1
102.6102.6
Auto18.6
Teleop77.3
End11.5
Third
5756
#34
113.50.2
113.5113.3
Auto15.5
Teleop86.4
End13.3
red by 14.0
4811
#28
99.50.4
102.6102.2
Auto16.1
Teleop78.9
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest oddsMissed38%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed