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Red353
4362185.0
724794.3
5460186.2
Blue240
469147.2
3539174.1
3302104.0
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3802870100200500600700800353240

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
186.21.4
179.1180.5
Auto22.9
Teleop133.0
End30.9
red by 12.1
174.12.3
166.1168.5
Auto23.2
Teleop129.4
End20.0
Second
185.02.1
181.4183.5
Auto21.7
Teleop145.5
End17.4
red by 37.9
469
#22
147.21.9
141.6143.5
Auto15.2
Teleop104.4
End27.4
Third
7247
#27
94.31.3
89.490.7
Auto18.0
Teleop72.7
End6.2
blue by 9.6
3302
#39
104.00.9
107.4106.5
Auto14.6
Teleop77.9
End11.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
94%Auto Quest oddsEarned33%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
33%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed