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Red431
818137.2
6099138.7
308167.5
Blue161
2676107.9
3302104.0
724794.3
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4361540100200300500600700800431161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
308
#8
167.52.4
159.8162.2
Auto20.4
Teleop112.8
End37.3
red by 59.6
2676
#26
107.90.3
109.6109.3
Auto17.0
Teleop80.0
End11.7
Second
6099
#12
138.70.1
138.0137.9
Auto16.9
Teleop103.7
End20.8
red by 34.7
3302
#39
104.00.9
106.5105.6
Auto14.6
Teleop77.9
End11.9
Third
818
#15
137.21.2
132.0133.2
Auto16.5
Teleop104.7
End16.5
red by 42.9
7247
#27
94.31.2
90.791.9
Auto18.0
Teleop72.7
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
49%Auto Quest oddsEarned37%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
12%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed