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Red176
5498125.9
469147.2
547896.4
Blue254
5436171.3
4362185.0
2673100.2
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2203970100300500600700800176254

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
#22
147.21.3
143.5144.8
Auto15.2
Teleop104.4
End27.4
blue by 37.9
185.01.8
183.5185.3
Auto21.7
Teleop145.5
End17.4
Second
5498
#30
125.91.1
124.8125.9
Auto18.1
Teleop93.3
End14.8
blue by 45.4
171.30.5
171.8172.3
Auto20.1
Teleop125.5
End26.8
Third
5478
#20
96.40.1
96.396.5
Auto11.4
Teleop81.2
End5.3
blue by 3.8
2673
#32
100.20.9
98.499.3
Auto12.9
Teleop80.8
End10.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
15%Auto Quest oddsMissed79%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsMissed