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Red387
245197.8
547896.4
5436171.3
Blue198
4815119.2
2960170.0
4961157.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3583050100200400500600700800387198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
245
#18
197.80.4
197.0196.6
Auto19.7
Teleop147.2
End30.9
red by 27.9
2960
#11
170.00.8
168.7169.5
Auto24.8
Teleop129.8
End15.2
Second
171.30.0
172.3172.3
Auto20.1
Teleop125.5
End26.8
red by 13.8
4961
#13
157.50.3
157.4157.7
Auto23.7
Teleop119.4
End16.4
Third
5478
#20
96.40.3
96.596.2
Auto11.4
Teleop81.2
End5.3
blue by 22.8
4815
#33
119.20.4
120.4120.0
Auto13.9
Teleop86.3
End21.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsMissed68%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
11%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed