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Red484
2048100.3
67210.2
818137.2
Blue161
653293.1
4362185.0
5498125.9
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions345296100200400500600484161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#1
210.21.9
201.0202.8
Auto28.0
Teleop137.2
End47.9
red by 25.1
185.01.0
185.3186.3
Auto21.7
Teleop145.5
End17.4
Second
818
#15
137.21.6
133.2134.8
Auto16.5
Teleop104.7
End16.5
red by 11.3
5498
#30
125.90.5
125.9126.4
Auto18.1
Teleop93.3
End14.8
Third
2048
#25
100.30.5
98.699.1
Auto16.1
Teleop74.0
End14.4
red by 7.2
6532
#37
93.10.5
93.393.9
Auto14.9
Teleop75.9
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
76%Auto Quest oddsEarned68%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
43%Face the Boss oddsEarned4%Face the Boss oddsMissed