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Red187
2337184.1
5756113.5
6099138.7
Blue414
469147.2
70172.8
6566106.8
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3352800100200400500600700187414

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
184.12.1
177.9180.0
Auto30.2
Teleop132.4
End25.0
red by 11.3
70
#2
172.81.6
166.9168.4
Auto23.7
Teleop125.7
End24.4
Second
6099
#12
138.70.6
137.9138.5
Auto16.9
Teleop103.7
End20.8
blue by 8.5
469
#22
147.20.7
144.8145.5
Auto15.2
Teleop104.4
End27.4
Third
5756
#34
113.50.6
113.1113.7
Auto15.5
Teleop86.4
End13.3
red by 6.7
6566
#17
106.81.7
109.3107.5
Auto14.7
Teleop86.8
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
56%Auto Quest oddsEarned43%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed