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Red100
68159.5
564288.8
2676107.9
Blue322
481199.5
2960170.0
259195.0
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions254307100200400500100322

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68
#24
159.50.1
160.0160.1
Auto24.5
Teleop108.6
End25.7
blue by 10.5
2960
#11
170.00.2
169.5169.6
Auto24.8
Teleop129.8
End15.2
Second
2676
#26
107.90.1
109.1109.2
Auto17.0
Teleop80.0
End11.7
red by 8.3
4811
#28
99.51.4
101.099.5
Auto16.1
Teleop78.9
End3.8
Third
5642
#40
88.80.1
88.788.8
Auto13.2
Teleop70.6
End1.5
blue by 6.2
2591
#21
95.01.4
93.795.0
Auto16.0
Teleop74.3
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsEarned75%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed