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Red446
6566106.8
226177.5
308167.5
Blue104
3632105.7
280112.6
6120135.6
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4042080100300500600446104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
#9
177.51.0
174.8175.7
Auto24.5
Teleop131.3
End24.4
red by 41.9
6120
#31
135.62.0
137.6135.6
Auto14.7
Teleop103.9
End13.1
Second
308
#8
167.51.0
164.7165.7
Auto20.4
Teleop112.8
End37.3
red by 54.9
280
#38
112.60.3
112.3112.6
Auto16.8
Teleop86.7
End10.3
Third
6566
#17
106.80.7
107.5106.8
Auto14.7
Teleop86.8
End4.6
red by 1.1
3632
#36
105.70.2
105.9105.7
Auto13.4
Teleop78.5
End16.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
86%Auto Quest oddsEarned15%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
12%Face the Boss oddsEarned4%Face the Boss oddsMissed