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Red229
1596137.3
4983143.3
6005115.2
Blue419
3767135.5
6112134.2
51127.1
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3083280200400600800229419

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
143.30.7
142.0142.7
Auto18.4
Teleop110.2
End18.6
red by 7.8
135.50.9
131.9132.9
Auto15.9
Teleop105.9
End14.4
Second
137.30.5
136.3136.9
Auto18.6
Teleop105.1
End14.6
red by 3.1
134.20.9
130.9131.8
Auto17.9
Teleop104.2
End12.0
Third
6005
#16
115.20.3
114.7115.0
Auto12.5
Teleop89.5
End14.4
blue by 11.8
51
#22
127.10.1
127.1127.0
Auto15.2
Teleop97.9
End16.0