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Red422
2075150.1
1918196.6
5247126.8
Blue316
3767135.5
6112134.2
51127.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions385285100200500600700422316

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
196.60.8
193.7194.5
Auto20.8
Teleop147.0
End28.6
red by 61.1
135.50.8
134.7135.5
Auto15.9
Teleop105.9
End14.4
Second
2075
#15
150.10.1
149.8149.8
Auto19.9
Teleop115.0
End14.0
red by 15.9
134.20.8
133.4134.2
Auto17.9
Teleop104.2
End12.0
Third
5247
#28
126.80.4
128.2127.8
Auto12.6
Teleop99.5
End13.8
blue by 0.3
51
#22
127.10.0
127.1127.1
Auto15.2
Teleop97.9
End16.0