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Red348
4392159.0
6100153.4
5183104.1
Blue219
5086134.5
5560143.7
6122144.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3303120100200400500600700348219

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
159.00.5
156.9157.4
Auto14.6
Teleop124.9
End20.2
red by 14.4
6122
#12
144.60.5
143.7144.2
Auto16.0
Teleop106.0
End25.9
Second
153.40.1
152.8153.0
Auto16.8
Teleop120.5
End14.0
red by 9.8
5560
#10
143.70.3
143.1143.4
Auto15.9
Teleop112.6
End16.3
Third
5183
#31
104.10.1
103.7103.8
Auto12.0
Teleop80.4
End11.9
blue by 30.4
5086
#14
134.50.5
133.7134.2
Auto13.5
Teleop104.3
End18.1