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Red336
4392159.0
6100153.4
5183104.1
Blue215
5086134.5
5560143.7
6122144.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions334308100200400500600336215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
159.00.5
157.4157.8
Auto14.6
Teleop124.9
End20.2
red by 14.4
6122
#12
144.60.4
144.2144.6
Auto16.0
Teleop106.0
End25.9
Second
153.40.1
153.0153.1
Auto16.8
Teleop120.5
End14.0
red by 9.8
5560
#10
143.70.2
143.4143.7
Auto15.9
Teleop112.6
End16.3
Third
5183
#31
104.10.1
103.8103.9
Auto12.0
Teleop80.4
End11.9
blue by 30.4
5086
#14
134.50.4
134.2134.5
Auto13.5
Teleop104.3
End18.1