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Red298
3603136.5
6121131.6
4377136.8
Blue391
1711133.1
6087147.4
5424143.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions307330200400500298391

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4377
#30
136.80.2
137.3137.0
Auto16.4
Teleop97.6
End21.4
blue by 10.5
147.40.3
144.7145.1
Auto18.5
Teleop107.1
End23.0
Second
3603
#13
136.50.6
135.3135.9
Auto14.4
Teleop102.5
End19.9
blue by 6.7
5424
#21
143.30.0
142.9142.9
Auto19.7
Teleop106.9
End16.7
Third
131.60.0
131.6131.6
Auto19.2
Teleop101.7
End10.7
blue by 1.5
1711
#29
133.10.5
129.2129.7
Auto15.0
Teleop106.9
End13.5