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Qual 122018 FIM District Traverse City Event
Red20
1896116.2
6552102.3
556299.2
Blue402
660095.7
5424143.3
7155125.3
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2562635015020030035040020402

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1896
#17
116.29.6
87.5→97.0
Auto14.9
Teleop89.6
End8.8
blue by 27.1
5424
#21
143.311.5
92.0→103.5
Auto19.7
Teleop106.9
End16.7
Second
6552
#37
102.36.5
95.8→102.3
Auto13.0
Teleop75.4
End17.3
blue by 23.1
7155
#18
125.312.9
77.7→90.7
Auto15.8
Teleop92.1
End16.0
Third
5562
#36
99.210.4
85.6→95.9
Auto11.7
Teleop78.9
End6.7
red by 3.5
6600
#34
95.76.9
83.4→90.3
Auto12.6
Teleop73.7
End11.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsMissed20%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed