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Red227
1596137.3
6627111.1
3618130.2
Blue278
4983143.3
6550122.0
4392159.0
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions282291150200250350400450227278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
137.37.9
105.9113.8
Auto18.6
Teleop105.1
End14.6
blue by 21.7
159.011.0
102.5113.5
Auto14.6
Teleop124.9
End20.2
Second
3618
#23
130.28.5
117.0125.5
Auto16.7
Teleop100.6
End10.6
blue by 13.1
143.39.3
95.9105.2
Auto18.4
Teleop110.2
End18.6
Third
6627
#39
111.18.0
87.595.4
Auto12.9
Teleop88.8
End9.0
blue by 10.9
6550
#26
122.06.6
103.3110.0
Auto13.0
Teleop100.8
End9.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsMissed25%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed