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Red190
6121131.6
556299.2
6005115.2
Blue150
7208104.0
2075150.1
6627111.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions251273100150200300350400450190150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131.66.2
109.2115.5
Auto19.2
Teleop101.7
End10.7
blue by 18.5
2075
#15
150.15.1
123.9129.0
Auto19.9
Teleop115.0
End14.0
Second
6005
#16
115.26.7
87.293.9
Auto12.5
Teleop89.5
End14.4
red by 4.1
6627
#39
111.14.3
95.499.7
Auto12.9
Teleop88.8
End9.0
Third
5562
#36
99.23.3
95.999.2
Auto11.7
Teleop78.9
End6.7
blue by 4.7
7208
#20
104.03.8
87.391.1
Auto15.6
Teleop81.7
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsMissed17%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed