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Red219
6097119.4
3688159.7
4956114.6
Blue282
3618130.2
5086134.5
6112134.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions279280220240250260270290300219282

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3688
#11
159.78.1
124.3132.4
Auto22.8
Teleop121.5
End13.8
red by 25.1
5086
#14
134.57.1
110.5117.6
Auto13.5
Teleop104.3
End18.1
Second
6097
#27
119.42.0
109.1111.1
Auto16.6
Teleop96.0
End7.0
blue by 14.8
134.28.8
89.197.9
Auto17.9
Teleop104.2
End12.0
Third
4956
#33
114.63.4
104.6108.0
Auto15.4
Teleop90.9
End6.8
blue by 15.6
3618
#23
130.24.6
125.5130.1
Auto16.7
Teleop100.6
End10.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsEarned26%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed