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Red363
4376131.9
4392159.0
2075150.1
Blue157
6122144.6
7208104.0
6112134.2
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3312330100400500600700800363157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
159.014.5
88.0102.5
Auto14.6
Teleop124.9
End20.2
red by 14.4
6122
#12
144.616.1
73.489.6
Auto16.0
Teleop106.0
End25.9
Second
2075
#15
150.113.2
100.6113.7
Auto19.9
Teleop115.0
End14.0
red by 15.9
134.217.4
62.379.7
Auto17.9
Teleop104.2
End12.0
Third
4376
#19
131.915.3
81.096.3
Auto14.0
Teleop103.8
End14.9
red by 28.0
7208
#20
104.020.0
97.777.7
Auto15.6
Teleop81.7
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsMissed27%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed