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Red340
5424143.3
5247126.8
6100153.4
Blue191
4398124.9
6005115.2
4983143.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions277278200220240260300320340340191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
153.415.8
76.292.0
Auto16.8
Teleop120.5
End14.0
red by 10.1
143.315.3
80.695.9
Auto18.4
Teleop110.2
End18.6
Second
5424
#21
143.315.8
76.292.0
Auto19.7
Teleop106.9
End16.7
red by 18.3
4398
#24
124.915.2
81.796.9
Auto13.9
Teleop93.0
End17.9
Third
5247
#28DQ
126.816.8
67.384.1
Auto12.6
Teleop99.5
End13.8
red by 11.5
6005
#16
115.217.8
58.576.3
Auto12.5
Teleop89.5
End14.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsMissed30%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed