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Red137
3767135.5
6550122.0
6627111.1
Blue265
4377136.8
1918196.6
5086134.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2663300100200400500600700137265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
135.515.1
83.098.0
Auto15.9
Teleop105.9
End14.4
blue by 61.1
196.612.3
109.1121.4
Auto20.8
Teleop147.0
End28.6
Second
6550
#26
122.014.4
88.9103.3
Auto13.0
Teleop100.8
End9.5
blue by 14.9
4377
#30
136.813.7
95.6109.3
Auto16.4
Teleop97.6
End21.4
Third
6627
#39
111.116.4
71.187.5
Auto12.9
Teleop88.8
End9.0
blue by 23.4
5086
#14
134.514.7
86.8101.4
Auto13.5
Teleop104.3
End18.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest oddsMissed39%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed