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Red115
6066110.4
3618130.2
660095.7
Blue436
1918196.6
7208104.0
4983143.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2553070100200400500600115436

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3618
#23
130.21.6
134.8136.4
Auto16.7
Teleop100.6
End10.6
blue by 66.4
196.67.3
156.0163.3
Auto20.8
Teleop147.0
End28.6
Second
6066
#35
110.40.8
122.8123.6
Auto13.4
Teleop89.1
End6.3
blue by 32.9
143.30.1
120.7120.8
Auto18.4
Teleop110.2
End18.6
Third
6600
#34
95.71.2
107.6106.4
Auto12.6
Teleop73.7
End11.5
blue by 8.3
7208
#20
104.01.2
94.195.3
Auto15.6
Teleop81.7
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsMissed28%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsEarned