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Red315
6627111.1
6112134.2
4392159.0
Blue205
3603136.5
4376131.9
4398124.9
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions313284100200400500600315205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
159.05.0
138.3143.3
Auto14.6
Teleop124.9
End20.2
red by 22.5
3603
#13
136.52.6
123.0125.5
Auto14.4
Teleop102.5
End19.9
Second
134.23.4
114.9118.3
Auto17.9
Teleop104.2
End12.0
red by 2.3
4376
#19
131.92.1
125.1127.3
Auto14.0
Teleop103.8
End14.9
Third
6627
#39
111.10.3
107.8108.0
Auto12.9
Teleop88.8
End9.0
blue by 13.8
4398
#24
124.92.1
118.6120.7
Auto13.9
Teleop93.0
End17.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
14%Auto Quest oddsMissed11%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed