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Red298
659992.3
4377136.8
5247126.8
Blue337
1711133.1
7155125.3
2075150.1
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2463550100200300400500600298337

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4377
#30
136.81.4
134.4135.9
Auto16.4
Teleop97.6
End21.4
blue by 13.2
2075
#15
150.13.2
144.5147.7
Auto19.9
Teleop115.0
End14.0
Second
5247
#28
126.84.3
124.0128.4
Auto12.6
Teleop99.5
End13.8
blue by 6.4
1711
#29
133.12.6
122.2124.8
Auto15.0
Teleop106.9
End13.5
Third
6599
#40
92.31.6
97.896.2
Auto14.5
Teleop76.2
End1.1
blue by 33.1
7155
#18
125.30.6
127.0127.6
Auto15.8
Teleop92.1
End16.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
11%Auto Quest oddsMissed20%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed