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Red280
3688159.7
6087147.4
660095.7
Blue311
6627111.1
4398124.9
6122144.6
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions328246100200300400500280311

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3688
#11
159.72.3
152.9155.2
Auto22.8
Teleop121.5
End13.8
red by 15.0
6122
#12
144.62.8
127.4130.2
Auto16.0
Teleop106.0
End25.9
Second
147.43.8
130.5134.3
Auto18.5
Teleop107.1
End23.0
red by 22.4
4398
#24
124.90.2
120.7120.9
Auto13.9
Teleop93.0
End17.9
Third
6600
#34
95.73.7
106.4102.7
Auto12.6
Teleop73.7
End11.5
blue by 15.4
6627
#39
111.11.3
108.0109.4
Auto12.9
Teleop88.8
End9.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsMissed9%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed