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Red196
5424143.3
6112134.2
7160104.7
Blue291
6550122.0
3618130.2
5183104.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions302268100200400500196291

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5424
#21
143.33.3
137.8141.1
Auto19.7
Teleop106.9
End16.7
red by 13.1
3618
#23
130.22.1
136.4134.4
Auto16.7
Teleop100.6
End10.6
Second
134.23.3
118.3121.6
Auto17.9
Teleop104.2
End12.0
red by 12.2
6550
#26
122.01.3
118.4119.8
Auto13.0
Teleop100.8
End9.5
Third
7160
#32
104.72.6
112.5109.9
Auto14.4
Teleop84.6
End5.5
red by 0.5
5183
#31
104.10.4
102.0101.6
Auto12.0
Teleop80.4
End11.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
17%Auto Quest oddsEarned20%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed