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Red146
3767135.5
4377136.8
7155125.3
Blue310
6121131.6
4392159.0
3603136.5
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions276336100200400500146310

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4377
#30
136.81.6
135.9137.5
Auto16.4
Teleop97.6
End21.4
blue by 22.2
159.02.3
147.6149.9
Auto14.6
Teleop124.9
End20.2
Second
135.51.9
122.8124.7
Auto15.9
Teleop105.9
End14.4
blue by 1.0
3603
#13
136.52.6
126.1128.7
Auto14.4
Teleop102.5
End19.9
Third
7155
#18
125.30.9
127.6128.6
Auto15.8
Teleop92.1
End16.0
blue by 6.3
131.63.6
124.2127.8
Auto19.2
Teleop101.7
End10.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsMissed30%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed